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how to estimate future social security benefits

by Dr. Mitchel Ebert PhD Published 2 years ago Updated 1 year ago
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How to Estimate Your Future Social Security Benefit

  • Estimating your Social Security benefit. How much you'll receive from Social Security depends on your work history and how much you're earning.
  • Maximizing your monthly checks. ...
  • Creating a Social Security strategy. ...

Full Answer

How much should you rely on Social Security benefit estimates?

  • Currently receiving benefits on your own Social Security record.
  • Waiting for a decision about your application for benefits or Medicare.
  • Age 62 or older and receiving benefits on another Social Security record.
  • Eligible for a Pension Based on Work Not Covered By Social Security.

What is my approximate, estimated Social Security benefit?

  • For every dollar of average indexed monthly earnings up to $926, you’ll get 90 cents per month in benefits.
  • For every dollar of average indexed monthly earnings between $927 and $5,583 you’ll get $.32 cents per month in benefits.
  • For every dollar of average indexed monthly earnings beyond $5,583 you’ll get $.15 cents per month in benefits.

How do you estimate your Social Security benefit?

Key Points

  • Social Security benefits may not be as high as you think.
  • The average benefit is going up in 2022.
  • Your benefit could be above or below average, depending on your wages over your career.

How do I estimate my SS Benefits?

You may want to may want to consider using my company's software — Maximize My Social Security or MaxiFi Planner — to ensure your household receives the highest lifetime benefits. Social Security calculators provided by other companies or non-profits may provide proper suggestions if they were built with extreme care. Best, Larry

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How can I find out my future Social Security benefits amount?

Your Social Security Statement (Statement) is available to view online by opening a my Social Security account. It is useful for people of all ages who want to learn about their future Social Security benefits and current earnings history.

How much Social Security will I get if I make $40000 a year?

Those who make $40,000 pay taxes on all of their income into the Social Security system. It takes more than three times that amount to max out your Social Security payroll taxes. The current tax rate is 6.2%, so you can expect to see $2,480 go directly from your paycheck toward Social Security.

How much Social Security will I get if I make $60000 a year?

That adds up to $2,096.48 as a monthly benefit if you retire at full retirement age. Put another way, Social Security will replace about 42% of your past $60,000 salary. That's a lot better than the roughly 26% figure for those making $120,000 per year.

How much Social Security will I get if I make $75000 a year?

about $28,300 annuallyIf you earn $75,000 per year, you can expect to receive $2,358 per month -- or about $28,300 annually -- from Social Security.

What is the monthly benefit of Social Security?

If you're eligible for Social Security, your monthly benefit is based on two factors: How much money you earned during your working career. The age you choose to start getting payments. Let's look at how each of these affects your future Social Security income.

How much do retirees rely on Social Security?

Most retirees rely on Social Security. One in four gets 90% of their retirement income from the program. About half rely on it for 50% of their income. 1. Although Social Security is only one part of a secure retirement plan, it's helpful to get a rough idea of how much you can expect. If you're eligible for Social Security, ...

How much will FICA be in 2021?

The same threshold applies to both your earnings and your benefits. This amount is $142,800 in 2021. 5.

How many credits do you need to qualify for spousal benefits?

2. You may be entitled to a spousal benefit because of your partner's work history. If your spouse, ex-spouse, or deceased spouse has earned 40 credits, you may qualify.

How does Social Security affect retirement?

Social Security benefits in retirement are impacted by three main criteria: the year you were born, the age you plan on electing (begin taking) benefits and your annual income in your working years. First we take your annual income and we adjust it by the Average Wage Index (AWI), to get your indexed earnings.

How long do you have to be a Social Security employee to get full benefits?

Anyone who pays into Social Security for at least 40 calendar quarters (10 years) is eligible for retirement benefits based on their earnings record. You are eligible for your full benefits once you reach full retirement age, which is either 66 and 67, depending on when you were born.

What age do you have to be to claim Social Security?

If you claim Social Security benefits early and then continue working, you’ll be subject to what’s called the Retirement Earnings Test. If you’re between age 62 and your full retirement age, and you’re claiming benefits, you need to know about the Earnings Test Exempt Amount, a threshold that changes yearly.

How long do I have to work to get Social Security?

To get your social security benefits we do a couple things. First we assume that you have or will work for 35 years before electing social security benefits (this is needed to calculate your benefits) We then take your income and we adjust it by the Average Wage Index (AWI), to account for the rise in the standard of living during your working ...

How much will Social Security be in 2052?

starting in 2052 at age 66: $48,771. The earliest you can begin receiving benefits is at age 62. Spouse's annual Social Security benefit. The earliest you can begin receiving benefits is at age 62. Social Security Benefits Accounting for Inflation: 1st year of benefits through age 95.

Does Social Security protect against inflation?

That means the retirement income you collect from Social Security has built-in protection against inflation. For many people, Social Security is the only form of retirement income they have that is directly linked to inflation. It’s a big perk that doesn’t get a lot of attention.

Is Social Security a tax?

You may hear people grumbling about the Social Security “Earnings Tax”, but it’s not really a tax. It’s a deferment of your benefits designed to keep you from spending too much too soon. And after you hit your full retirement age, you can work to your heart’s content without any reduction in your benefits.

How is Social Security decided?

Your Social Security benefit is decided based on your lifetime earnings and the age you retire and begin taking payments. Your lifetime earnings are converted to a monthly average based on the 35 years in which you earned the most, adjusted for inflation. Those earnings are converted to a monthly insurance payment based on your full retirement age.

What is the formula for Social Security benefits?

The Social Security benefits formula is designed to replace a higher proportion of income for low-income earners than for high-income earners. To do this, the formula has what are called “bend points." These bend points are adjusted for inflation each year.

What is wage indexing?

Social Security uses a process called wage indexing to determine how to adjust your earnings history for inflation. Each year, Social Security publishes the national average wages for the year. You can see this published list on the National Average Wage Index page. 3 .

What age do you get FRA?

This is the amount you will get if you start benefits at your Full Retirement Age (FRA). Your FRA can vary depending on the year you were born. For people born between 1943 and 1954, as in our example, the FRA is age 66. For people born on Jan. 1, the FRA is based on the year prior.

Is Social Security higher at age 70?

If you have already had most of your 35 years of earnings, and you are near 62 today, the age 70 benefit amount you see on your Social Security statement will likely be higher due to these cost of living adjustments .

Can you calculate inflation rate at 60?

Until you know the average wages for the year you turn 60, there is no way to do an exact calculation. However, you could attribute an assumed inflation rate to average wages to estimate the average wages going forward and use those to create an estimate.

How to calculate Social Security benefits?

Your Social Security benefit is based on your average indexed monthly earnings (AIME). You can calculate this by looking at your annual income each year. Make sure you only include the portion of your income that was subject to Social Security tax.

How much will Social Security be reduced if you retire early?

However, if you claim your benefit before you reach full retirement, your benefits will be reduced by 30 percent.

How much does the SSA withhold?

If you make more than $45,360 in 2018 after filing a claim for Social Security benefits, SSA withholds $1 in benefits for every $3 you earn in excess of this higher limit.

How many years do you have to work to get Social Security?

Add up your income for the 35 highest years. Social Security benefits are based on your average earnings for 35 years of work. If you haven't worked for at least 35 years, Social Security will average in zeroes for as many years as you are short. If you've worked more than 35 years, choose the 35 years in which you earned the most income.

What is the age of full retirement?

1. Determine your normal retirement age (NRA). Your NRA, also called "full retirement age," is based on the year you were born, but varies generally from 65 to 67. This is the age at which you will receive your full benefit amount. If you file a claim for Social Security benefits before this age, you'll get less money.

Is Social Security taxable if spouse is still working?

This is also true if your spouse is still working, since Social Security benefits are also taxable. Decide whether you plan to keep working. If you don't intend to completely quit working after you file your claim for Social Security benefits, the SSA may withhold some of your benefits.

When do you get your full Social Security benefits?

The Social Security benefits formula can be complicated. The benefits equal a percentage of the average of your inflation-adjusted wages in the 35 years your earnings were the highest.

How to see your estimated future Social Security benefits

If you want to see an estimate of your future benefit, you can create an account at mySocialSecurity.gov. Signing up for an account is quick and free and requires providing some basic details, including your Social Security number, as well as answering identifying questions.

How to check Social Security benefits?

To see how much you can expect to collect, check your Social Security statements online by creating a mySocialSecurity account. In the past, the Social Security Administration (SSA) mailed out paper statements. But most workers no longer receive these, so for many people, the only way to check their benefit amount is to create an online account.

Why is it important to maximize Social Security benefits?

Because Social Security benefits could potentially make or break your retirement, it's crucial to maximize them. That begins with knowing how much you can expect to receive, because it's tough to plan for retirement if you don't know what your future monthly checks will look like.

How much is the FRA benefit reduced?

If you claim before your FRA (you can do so as early as 62), your benefits will be reduced by up to 30%. On the other hand, if you wait until after your FRA to begin claiming (up to 70), you'll receive your full benefit amount plus up to 32% extra each month.

Why is it important to have a social security plan?

Creating a Social Security strategy. Because Social Security benefits will likely be an important part of your retirement plan, it's vital to ensure you make the most of them. By checking your benefit amount online and then taking steps to boost it, you can collect more and enjoy a more comfortable retirement.

What age do you start claiming your Social Security?

When you check your statements online, your estimated benefit amount is the amount you'll collect if you begin claiming at your full retirement age (FRA) -- which is either age 66, 66 and a certain number of months, or 67, ...

How long do you have to work to get unemployment benefits?

So if you want to earn as much as possible in benefits, you should work at least 35 years .

How long do you have to work to get a monthly check?

So if you want to earn as much as possible in benefits, you should work at least 35 years. Increasing your income can also result in larger monthly checks because the more you earn each year, the higher your earnings average will be.

Why are Social Security benefits worse for younger people?

This means that these problems are worse for people who are younger because they have more years of future earnings, and the calculation’s assumptions of o% growth, ahead of them.

What does it mean to not assume your wages will increase?

The combination of not assuming your wages will increase or the use of the bend point formula means that you could be planning your retirement income strategy with faulty numbers. Not including these number on the benefits estimates raises a few questions.

How much does a 45 year old make?

That tends to lowball the actual income you’ll most likely earn. For that same 45-year-old that earns $75,000 and experiences a modest 2% annual increase to their salary, their average salary between 45 and full retirement age will be slightly over $94,000.

Does the SSA inflate past earnings?

The SSA does inflate past earnings two years prior to the statement year. So, if the statement year is 2020, your earnings through 2018 have been indexed for inflation. But the problem is that when they estimate your future earnings, they assume that what you earned in the last year is what you’ll earn in the future.

Does Social Security assume earnings will increase over time?

The double whammy of the underestimation issue is that not only does the Social Security Administration assume your earnings will not increase over time, but they also assume the Social Security formula will stay the same .

Is Social Security a good source of information?

Unfortunately, your Social Security benefits estimate from the statements you can pull from the Social Security Administration is not the best source of information on what to expect in the future. The issue lies with the omissions that the Administration makes with their estimate methodology. To understand why this is a problem, we need ...

Do I need to know what to expect from Social Security?

As such, you need to know what to expect in Social Security benefits when constructing your plan to ensure it works. Unfortunately, your Social Security benefits estimate from the statements you can pull from the Social Security ...

How to calculate the age of unemployment?

First, determine the value of the benefits at the age you’ll begin receiving them, using your life expectancy at that age. Second , divide that benefit value by one plus the interest rate raised to the number of years between now and when the benefits will begin.

Why do people ignore Social Security?

Since Social Security and other pensions have characteristics of bonds, ignoring the pensions means your investment portfolio probably is overweighted to bonds and is more conservative than you need it to be. In addition, many people save too much or worry too much because Social Security wasn’t valued and considered.

How to raise 1.05 to the fifth power?

To raise 1.05 to the fifth power, simply multiply it by itself five times. The resulting value for the benefits is $105,776.03. That is the simple approach to valuing Social Security benefits. The benefits actually are worth more than that for a couple of reasons. Social Security benefits are not fixed payment benefits.

Is Social Security a bond?

A pension such as Social Security has many of the characteristics of a high quality bond. You receive regular payments from it, and the payments usually have a high level of security. Major differences are that a pension cannot be sold on the market, and payments include both principal and income. You should try to put a value on Social Security ...

Is Social Security a conservative asset?

How much to reduce the value is at your discretion. Your Social Security benefits and any other pensions are valuable assets. They also are very conservative assets. They should be considered when computing both expected retirement income and your portfolio allocation. Valuing Social Security.

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