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how accurate is social security estimated benefits

by Junius Eichmann I Published 2 years ago Updated 1 year ago
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The answer depends. The SSA

Social Security Administration

The United States Social Security Administration is an independent agency of the U.S. federal government that administers Social Security, a social insurance program consisting of retirement, disability, and survivors' benefits. To qualify for most of these benefits, most workers pay Social …

Paper found that SSA benefit estimates were less accurate for younger workers than for older worker closer to retirement age, for women than men, for lower-wage workers than higher-wage workers, and for persons with zero earnings in the 2 years prior to the Statement who were projected to have no future earnings.

The SSA Paper found that SSA benefit estimates were less accurate for younger workers than for older worker closer to retirement age, for women than men, for lower-wage workers than higher-wage workers, and for persons with zero earnings in the 2 years prior to the Statement who were projected to have no future ...Dec 15, 2020

Full Answer

How much should you rely on Social Security benefit estimates?

  • Currently receiving benefits on your own Social Security record.
  • Waiting for a decision about your application for benefits or Medicare.
  • Age 62 or older and receiving benefits on another Social Security record.
  • Eligible for a Pension Based on Work Not Covered By Social Security.

Should you trust your Social Security benefits estimate?

Unfortunately, your Social Security benefits estimate from the statements you can pull from the Social Security Administration is not the best source of information on what to expect in the future. The issue lies with the omissions that the Administration makes with their estimate methodology.

How to calculate your projected Social Security benefit?

  • For every dollar of average indexed monthly earnings up to $926, you’ll get 90 cents per month in benefits.
  • For every dollar of average indexed monthly earnings between $927 and $5,583 you’ll get $.32 cents per month in benefits.
  • For every dollar of average indexed monthly earnings beyond $5,583 you’ll get $.15 cents per month in benefits.

How to make the most out of Social Security?

The Motley Fool's Social Security experts outline the steps you'll have to take to do it.

  1. Max out your earnings Christy Bieber: Your Social Security benefit is based on something called your Average Indexed Monthly Earnings, or AIME. ...
  2. Work 35 years or more to boost average earnings Keith Noonan: The SSA will calculate your monthly benefits based on your highest 35 years of inflation-adjusted earnings. ...
  3. Claim at the right time

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How do I get an accurate Social Security estimate?

The best way to estimate your Social Security benefits is to sign up for a my Social Security account. The Social Security Administration used to mail benefit statements every five years to workers between the ages of 25 and 60 and then annually until they started taking benefits.

Can My estimated Social Security benefit go down?

Your benefit rate won't go down because you've stopped working, it simply won't increase like it might have had you continued working and earned enough to replace one or more your previous highest 35 years of earnings used to determine your actual benefit rate.

Is the Social Security retirement calculator accurate?

The Social Security Administration's Retirement Estimator uses your actual Social Security earnings record to provide a benefit estimate for three claiming ages: age 62, your full retirement age and 70. The estimate is likely to be the most accurate for people close to retirement who have a long earnings history.

Are Social Security estimates in current or future dollars?

Your Social Security Statement details what your estimated benefit will be at your full retirement age in today's dollars, not future dollars. That can be confusing to people who are trying to estimate how much income they will need in retirement. Your estimate is also a before-tax amount.

How much Social Security will I get if I make $60000 a year?

That adds up to $2,096.48 as a monthly benefit if you retire at full retirement age. Put another way, Social Security will replace about 42% of your past $60,000 salary. That's a lot better than the roughly 26% figure for those making $120,000 per year.

How much Social Security will I get if I make $30000 a year?

0:362:31How much your Social Security benefits will be if you make $30,000 ...YouTubeStart of suggested clipEnd of suggested clipYou get 32 percent of your earnings between 996. Dollars and six thousand and two dollars whichMoreYou get 32 percent of your earnings between 996. Dollars and six thousand and two dollars which comes out to just under 500 bucks.

Why is my Social Security estimate so low?

If you recently started receiving Social Security benefits, there are three common reasons why you may be getting less than you expected: an offset due to outstanding debts, taking benefits early, and a high income.

How much Social Security will I get if I make $80000 a year?

Initial Social Security retirement benefits by age and income levelAnnual Income (Inflation-Adjusted)Age 6266 Years, 4 Months (FRA)$70,000$1,695$2,312$80,000$1,787$2,437$90,000$1,879$2,562$100,000$1,970$2,6875 more rows•Aug 21, 2018

How much Social Security will I get if I make $120000 a year?

If you make $120,000, here's your calculated monthly benefit According to the Social Security benefit formula in the previous section, this would produce an initial monthly benefit of $2,920 at full retirement age.

Is Social Security based on the last 5 years of work?

A: Your Social Security payment is based on your best 35 years of work. And, whether we like it or not, if you don't have 35 years of work, the Social Security Administration (SSA) still uses 35 years and posts zeros for the missing years, says Andy Landis, author of Social Security: The Inside Story, 2016 Edition.

How much Social Security will I get if I make $40000 a year?

Those who make $40,000 pay taxes on all of their income into the Social Security system. It takes more than three times that amount to max out your Social Security payroll taxes. The current tax rate is 6.2%, so you can expect to see $2,480 go directly from your paycheck toward Social Security.

Is it better to take Social Security at 62 or 67?

The short answer is yes. Retirees who begin collecting Social Security at 62 instead of at the full retirement age (67 for those born in 1960 or later) can expect their monthly benefits to be 30% lower. So, delaying claiming until 67 will result in a larger monthly check.

Why does the actual benefit differ from the estimated benefit?

The Statement emphasizes that the actual benefit a worker will receive may differ from the estimated benefit because of a number of factors. In the Statement's own wording (see Appendix A ), The actual benefit amount…may differ from the estimates…because: Your earnings may increase or decrease in the future.

Why is the Social Security Statement important?

The Social Security Statement is one of the Social Security Administration's ( SSA 's) most important ways to communicate with the public. Because a worker's complete lifetime earnings are unknown at the time his or her Statement is prepared, SSA estimates his or her future benefits by using the worker's historical earnings to project future ...

How much will Janet SSA make in 2020?

For her 2020 Statement, SSA estimates her future benefits by assuming she earns $50,000 in 2020, 2021, and all future years until retirement. If Jane had no earnings in 2019, then SSA assumes that her future earnings will be the same as her earnings in 2018 (2 years prior to her year of Statement receipt).

What is the purpose of a Social Security statement?

The Social Security Statement is one of the Social Security Administration's ( SSA 's) most important ways to communicate with the public. The Statement provides millions of American workers with their earnings record; their estimated retirement and disability benefits; their dependents' estimated survivor benefits; and general program information. ...

How many credits are there for Social Security?

The Statement provides personalized estimates of future retirement benefits for fully insured workers; that is, workers who have earned 40 credits in Social Security–covered work. Covered employment refers to jobs for which employers submit payroll-tax deductions to the Internal Revenue Service ( IRS) and report annual wages to SSA to determine a worker's eligibility for Social Security benefits and the amount of those benefits. Taxable wages are wage and salary earnings in covered employment equal to or less than an annually adjusted threshold amount called the taxable maximum. 2 In 2020, a worker earns one credit for each $1,410 of wages or self-employment income in Social Security–covered work, up to a maximum of four credits each year. 3

Is the SSAB benefit estimate accurate?

Also using MINT, SSAB found that, on average, the benefit estimates improved as the worker approached retirement age. SSAB noted that the projections were less accurate for younger workers than for older workers, for women than for men, and for lower-wage workers than for higher-wage workers.

How the Retirement Estimator Works

The Retirement Estimator calculates a benefit amount for you based on your actual Social Security earnings record. Please keep in mind that these are just estimates.

Who Can Use the Retirement Estimator

You can use the Retirement Estimator if you have enough Social Security credits to qualify for benefits and you are not:

How Long Can You Stay On Each Page?

For security reasons, there are time limits for viewing each page. You will receive a warning if you don’t do anything for 25 minutes, but you will be able to extend your time on the page.

How many ways do you come up with an estimate of your Social Security benefits?

Social Security has six different ways for us to come up with an estimate of our benefits. First, it provides a printed earnings statement with benefit estimates.

What is the spousal benefit at 66?

And, because you will not be filing for a retirement benefit prior to age 70, the spousal benefit you’ll get at 66 will be a full spousal benefit, equal to half of your wife’s full retirement benefit, or primary insurance amount (PIA).

What is excess spousal benefit?

Once you file for a retirement benefit, even if you suspend it, your spousal benefit will then be calculated as an excess spousal benefit — the excess (the difference) between half your spouse’s full retirement benefit and 100 percent of your full retirement benefit. This excess could well be negative, in which case your excess spousal benefit will ...

Can you wipe out your spousal benefits at 66?

So if you both walk into the Social Security office at 66 and both file and suspend, you may both wipe out your spousal benefits right there on the spot. Let’s not do this.

Can Christine get survivor benefits if she passes away?

Given your age differences, it may still be best for Christine to do this. Once you pass away, she’ll qualify for a survivor benefit on your work record. But depending on her past earnings, her own retirement benefit (especially if she waits until 70 to collect it) may exceed her survivor benefit.

Can you collect retirement benefits at different ages?

But in presenting the retirement benefits you can collect starting at different ages, the statement doesn’t say whether the amounts are shown in today’s dollars or in dollars of the years in which you’ll start collecting.

Will Social Security increase if pension is not adjusted for inflation?

But if her pension is not adjusted for inflation, at some point, her spousal and survivor benefits, which will be rising thanks to Social Security’s annual cost-of-living adjustment , may exceed two-thirds of her pension and then she’ll get a Social Security benefit.

What is the monthly benefit of Social Security?

If you're eligible for Social Security, your monthly benefit is based on two factors: How much money you earned during your working career. The age you choose to start getting payments. Let's look at how each of these affects your future Social Security income.

How much do retirees rely on Social Security?

Most retirees rely on Social Security. One in four gets 90% of their retirement income from the program. About half rely on it for 50% of their income. 1. Although Social Security is only one part of a secure retirement plan, it's helpful to get a rough idea of how much you can expect. If you're eligible for Social Security, ...

How many credits do you need to qualify for spousal benefits?

2. You may be entitled to a spousal benefit because of your partner's work history. If your spouse, ex-spouse, or deceased spouse has earned 40 credits, you may qualify.

How much will FICA be in 2021?

The same threshold applies to both your earnings and your benefits. This amount is $142,800 in 2021. 5.

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